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Murder in Warrenton, Virginia (2026)

4.8 per 100K · 16% below national avg · Grade B-

Updated October 2026 · Based on 2023 FBI UCR data

Quick Answer

Warrenton has a murder rate of 4.8 per 100K, which is 16% below the national average of 5.7. Grade: B-. Your odds of being affected: approximately 1 in 20,833 per year.

In 2026, the murder rate in Warrenton, Virginia is 4.8 per 100,000 residents, which is 16% below the national average of 5.7. That puts Warrenton's murder below the national average. Based on FBI UCR data.

Murder Rate: Warrenton vs State and National Averages

Warrenton
4.8
Virginia Avg
6.1
National Avg
5.7

Rates per 100,000 residents. 2023 FBI UCR data.

Your Odds: Murder in Warrenton

1 in 20,833

Approximate chance of being affected by murder in Warrenton in a given year, based on the rate of 4.8 per 100,000 residents.

What Is Murder?

Murder and non-negligent manslaughter is the willful killing of one person by another. This does not include deaths caused by negligence, suicide, or justifiable homicide.

Other Crime Types in Warrenton

Murder in Nearby Virginia Cities

CityGradeRate
Poquoson
C+
6.7
Martinsville
C+
6.6
Falls Church
B
3.7
Front Royal
B-
4.3
Williamsburg
C+
7.2
Bristol
C+
6.7

Frequently Asked Questions About Murder in Warrenton

How bad is murder in Warrenton?
As of 2026, Warrenton's murder rate of 4.8 per 100K is 16% below the national average. It ranks behind 45% of US cities for murder.
What is the murder rate in Warrenton?
As of 2026, 4.8 per 100,000 residents, based on the most recent FBI Uniform Crime Report data. The national average is 5.7 per 100K.
Is murder increasing in Warrenton?
Crime in Warrenton has trended upward recently, though specific murder trends may differ from the overall picture.
How does Warrenton's murder compare to Virginia?
Warrenton performs better than most Virginia cities on murder. Its rate of 4.8 per 100K is below the national average when compared nationally.
What are the odds of being a victim of murder in Warrenton?
Based on the rate of 4.8 per 100,000, approximately 1 in 20,833 residents could be affected by murder in a given year. This is a statistical estimate, not a prediction — actual risk varies by neighborhood and behavior.
Is Warrenton safe from murder?
Warrenton is about average for murder. The rate of 4.8 per 100K is below the national average. Awareness and normal precautions go a long way.

2023 FBI Uniform Crime Report data and Census Bureau population estimates. Safety grades calculated using national and state-level crime rate distributions. Not a substitute for local law enforcement guidance.

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